دوره 26، شماره 2 - ( تابستان 1400 )                   دوره26 شماره 2 صفحات 179-153 | برگشت به فهرست نسخه ها


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Moridian A, Yarmohammadian N, Motalebi M, Shadmehr A. (2021). The Role of Economic Complexity in the Ecological Footprint: A Review of the EKC Hypothesis for Iran. JPBUD. 26(2), 153-179. doi:10.52547/jpbud.26.2.153
URL: http://jpbud.ir/article-1-2006-fa.html
مریدیان علی، یارمحمدیان ناصر، مطلبی معصومه، شادمهر افسانه. نقش پیچیدگی اقتصادی در ردپای بوم‌ شناختی: بررسی فرضیه منحنی زیست‌محیطی کوزنتس (EKC) برای ایران فصلنامه برنامه ریزی و بودجه 1400; 26 (2) :179-153 10.52547/jpbud.26.2.153

URL: http://jpbud.ir/article-1-2006-fa.html


1- دانشگاه هنر اصفهان، اصفهان، ایران ، alimoridian@ymail.com
2- گروه اقتصاد شهری، دانشگاه هنر اصفهان، اصفهان، ایران.
3- دانشگاه لرستان، خرم آباد، ایران
4- دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، تهران، ایران.
چکیده:   (2886 مشاهده)
پژوهش حاضر با هدف آزمون اعتبار فرضیه منحنی زیست‌محیطی کوزنتس (EKC) برای ایران انجام شده است. برای تجزیه ‏و تحلیل روابط کوتاه‌مدت و بلند‌مدت میان رشد اقتصادی، شاخص پیچیدگی اقتصادی، مصرف انرژی، و ردپای بوم ‏شناختی از روش FourierARDL و آزمون علّیت با تغییر زمان استفاده شده است. یافته‌های رویکرد FourierARDL وجود هم‌انباشتگی در میان متغیرها را تایید می‌کند. علاوه بر این، نتایج نشان می‌دهد مصرف انرژی و رشد اقتصادی باعث افزایش رد‌پای بوم‌شناختی در کوتاه‌مدت و بلند‌مدت می‌شود. با این حال، کشش کوتاه‌مدت رشد اقتصادی نسبت به کشش بلند‌مدت کوچک‏تر است، یعنی فرضیه EKC برای ایران معتبر نیست. این یافته توسط آزمون علّیت با تغییر زمان تایید می‌شود. نتایج کلی نشان می‌دهد که پیچیدگی اقتصادی تاثیر کاهنده‌ای بر رد‌پای بوم‌شناختی دارد و رشد اقتصادی برای حل مشکلات زیست‌محیطی در ایران موثر نیست. بنابراین، دولت ایران باید فرایند تولید سازگار با محیط‏زیست و فناوری‌های پاک‌تر را در صادرات تشویق کند تا آلودگی محیط‏ زیست کاهش یابد.
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نوع مطالعه: پژوهشي | موضوع مقاله: اقتصاد انرژی، محیط زیست و منابع طبیعی
دریافت: 1400/2/7 | پذیرش: 1400/4/19 | انتشار الکترونیک: 1400/9/14

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